Check Out the Yankees vs Nationals Best Bets and Expert Picks – Sunday July 12, 2026

New York Yankees

@

Washington Nationals

New York Yankees Insights

• Will Warren – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  The Washington Nationals have 8 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Will Warren in this game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Washington Nationals Insights

• Washington Nationals – Moneyline (-125)
  The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• CJ Abrams – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-145)
  CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• New York Yankees – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+120/-155)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.65 Units / 30% ROI)
• Austin Wells – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+155/-200)
  Austin Wells has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)