Discover Current Player Trends for Athletics vs Mariners – 3/27/25

Athletics

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Seattle Mariners

As the Seattle Mariners prepare to host the Oakland Athletics on March 27, 2025, this matchup takes on added significance as both teams look to improve their standing. Currently, the Mariners sit in a challenging position within the American League West, while the Athletics have also struggled throughout the season. Notably, the Mariners are coming off a strong performance from Logan Gilbert, who pitched a complete game shutout in his last start on September 29, 2024, showcasing his potential as a key asset.

The Mariners will rely on Gilbert, ranked as the 33rd best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced statistics. Gilbert’s projections for this game indicate he will average 5.7 innings pitched, with a solid expectation of allowing only 1.9 earned runs. However, he does face issues with allowing hits and walks, which could be a concern against any lineup. On the other hand, the Athletics will counter with Luis Severino, who has been struggling this season and is considered one of the worst pitchers in the league. Severino’s projections suggest he will allow 2.4 earned runs over 5.1 innings, but he also has a tendency to give up hits and walks at a concerning rate.

Offensively, the Mariners rank 22nd in MLB, struggling particularly with their batting average, sitting at 29th. However, they do rank 13th in home runs, indicating some potential firepower. The Athletics, meanwhile, also find themselves near the bottom of the rankings, sitting 21st overall and 25th in batting average, but they do have a solid 8th place ranking in home runs.

With the Mariners favored in this matchup, the projections suggest an average implied team total of 3.90 runs, compared to the Athletics’ low total of 3.10 runs. This game could be crucial for the Mariners to build momentum as they continue to navigate a challenging season.

Athletics Insights

• Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Shea Langeliers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Shea Langeliers pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Jorge Polanco – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Luis Severino in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+11.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• Athletics – Moneyline (+145)
  The Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 77 games (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)