
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Miami Marlins
-165O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+145
(-110/-110)+145
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+125/-165)Out of all SPs, Tyler Glasnow’s fastball spin rate of 2537 rpm is in the 96th percentile this year.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Teoscar Hernández – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Teoscar Hernandez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 97.2-mph in the last 14 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Miami Marlins Insights
- Tyler Phillips – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)Compared to average, Tyler Phillips has been granted a below-average leash this year, recording an -16.0 fewer adjusted pitches each start.Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
- The Miami Marlins have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Owen Caissie, Heriberto Hernandez, Griffin Conine, Kyle Stowers).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-165)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Griffin Conine – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+160/-210)Griffin Conine has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 48% ROI)
