Get the Marlins vs Royals Injury Report – Thursday, September 03, 2026

Miami Marlins

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Kansas City Royals

Miami Marlins Insights

• Sandy Alcantara – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  Sandy Alcantara’s curveball rate has dropped by 15% from last season to this one (18% to 3%) .
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Kyle Stowers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Kyle Stowers has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 97-mph in the past two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heriberto Hernandez, Kyle Stowers, Griffin Conine, Owen Caissie).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Kansas City Royals – Moneyline (-105)
  Among every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Kyle Isbel – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)
  Kyle Isbel is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Miami (#2-best of all teams on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Kansas City Royals – 2H Moneyline
  The Kansas City Royals bullpen grades out as the worst in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Kansas City Royals – Moneyline (-105)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Miami Marlins – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)