
New York Yankees
@

Chicago Cubs
-120O/U: 6.5
(+100/-120)+100
(+100/-120)+100
New York Yankees Insights
- New York Yankees – Moneyline (-120)The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Austin Wells – Over/Under Total BasesChicago’s #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Austin Wells, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- New York Yankees – 2H MoneylineThe New York Yankees bullpen projects as the 9th-best in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Chicago Cubs Insights
- David Peterson – Over/Under Pitching OutsDavid Peterson has averaged 14.1 outs per start this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Ian Happ – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-115/-115)Ian Happ has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)In today’s matchup, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.2% rate (99th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
