D-Backs vs Pirates Picks and Betting Odds – 7/29/2026

Arizona Diamondbacks logo

Arizona Diamondbacks

@
Pittsburgh Pirates logo

Pittsburgh Pirates

+115O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)
-135

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

  • Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (+115)
    Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
    Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
  • Arizona Diamondbacks – 2H Moneyline
    The Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen profiles as the 3rd-best in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
    Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

  • Jared Jones – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+145/-190)
    Compared to the average starter, Jared Jones has been given a shorter leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an -15.1 fewer adjusted pitches each start.
    Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
  • Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+175/-235)
    Jake Mangum has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
    Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
  • Henry Davis – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
    Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.
    Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.