Read the Boxscore for Giants vs Mariners - Friday July 17th, 2026

+135O/U: 7
(-110/-110)-155

San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+125)
Landen Roupp is an extreme groundball pitcher (46.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in T-Mobile Park — the #10 HR venue in the league — in this matchup.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
Luis Arraez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-240/+180)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average skill.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Drew Cavanaugh, Willy Adames, Bryce Eldridge).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Bryce Miller – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
The San Francisco Giants have 6 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Miller in this game.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Dominic Canzone – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Seattle Mariners – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Seattle Mariners’ bullpen projects as the 10th-worst among all the teams in the game.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.00 Units / 12% ROI)
San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+120/-155)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.45 Units / 25% ROI)
Casey Schmitt – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+460/-750)
Casey Schmitt has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+7.60 Units / 190% ROI)

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