Get Expert Player Predictions for Orioles vs Astros - Friday July 17, 2026

-110O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)-110

Dean Kremer – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
Compared to the average hurler, Dean Kremer has been given an above-average leash since the start of last season, recording an extra 3.2 adjusted pitches each outing.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Baltimore Orioles – 2H Moneyline
The Baltimore Orioles bullpen grades out as the 8th-worst in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Peter Lambert – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
Due to his reverse platoon split, Peter Lambert should be in good shape facing 6 hitters in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side today.
Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Yordan Alvarez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)
When estimating his batting average ability, Yordan Alvarez is projected as the best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
Isaac Paredes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.7% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-145)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.60 Units / 22% ROI)

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