
Texas Rangers
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Atlanta Braves
+175O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-205
(-110/-110)-205
Texas Rangers Insights
- Texas Rangers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+180)Cal Quantrill is an extreme flyball pitcher (35% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #24 HR venue in the league in this matchup.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Brandon Nimmo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
Atlanta Braves Insights
- Chris Sale – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)As a result of his huge platoon split, Chris Sale has a tough challenge squaring off against 7 batters in the projected lineup of the opposite hand in this game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Austin Riley – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)Austin Riley is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Betting Trends
- Atlanta Braves – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Texas Rangers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+100/-130)The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.40 Units / 29% ROI)
