Player Insights for Yankees vs Nationals – 7/11/26

New York Yankees

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Washington Nationals

New York Yankees Insights

• Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Among all starting pitchers, Cameron Schlittler’s fastball velocity of 97.2 mph ranks in the 95th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• The 10.1% Barrel% of the New York Yankees makes them the #1 offense in the majors this year by this stat.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Washington Nationals Insights

• Miles Mikolas – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Miles Mikolas is projected to throw 83 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of all pitchers on the slate.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Dylan Crews – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)
  Dylan Crews is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• CJ Abrams – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.