
Athletics
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Detroit Tigers
+115O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-135
(-110/-110)-135
Athletics Insights
- Jack Perkins – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)With 6 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Jackson Perkins will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Colby Thomas – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)Colby Thomas is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Athletics – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen ranks as the 9th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)Framber Valdez was in good form in his previous start and gave up 1 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- James Outman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)James Outman has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.6-mph dropping to 76.2-mph over the past 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-115/-115)The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 70% ROI)
- Athletics – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-145)The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Shea Langeliers – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-135/+105)Shea Langeliers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
