
Athletics
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Detroit Tigers
+110O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-130
(-110/-110)-130
Athletics Insights
- Colby Thomas – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)Colby Thomas is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Athletics – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen ranks as the 9th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)Framber Valdez was in good form in his previous start and gave up 1 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- James Outman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)James Outman has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.6-mph dropping to 76.2-mph over the past 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-110/-120)The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 70% ROI)
- Athletics – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+100/-130)The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+115/-150)Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 35% ROI)
