Player Predictions for Cubs vs Orioles - July 9, 2026

+110O/U: 9.5
(-120/+100)-130

David Peterson – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
David Peterson has used his slider 5% more often this year (24.2%) than he did last season (19.2%).
Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
Pete Crow-Armstrong is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#3-worst of all teams on the slate).
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Trevor Rogers – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
Trevor Rogers’s 2462-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 85th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Samuel Basallo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)
Samuel Basallo is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-130)
The Baltimore Orioles projected batting order profiles as the best on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+5.15 Units / 10% ROI)
Chicago Cubs – Run Line +1.5 (-185)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+7.70 Units / 30% ROI)
Samuel Basallo – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+135/-175)
Samuel Basallo has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 16% ROI)

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