
Chicago Cubs
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Milwaukee Brewers
+175O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-205
(-110/-110)-205
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+145)Ryan Rolison will have the handedness advantage against 6 opposing hitters today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Nico Hoerner – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)Nico Hoerner has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.7-mph dropping to 81.4-mph in the last week.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+175)The Chicago Cubs projected offense grades out as the 3rd-strongest of the day in terms of overall hitting ability.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Brandon Woodruff – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)Brandon Woodruff’s 91.4-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.1-mph decrease from last season’s 92.5-mph figure.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
- Garrett Mitchell – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)Garrett Mitchell is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Chicago (#1-best of all teams on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Milwaukee Brewers – 2H MoneylineThe Milwaukee Brewers bullpen grades out as the 7th-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Milwaukee Brewers – Run Line -1.5 (-110)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+6.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+175/-230)Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
