Player Props for Phillies vs Nationals - Wednesday June 24, 2026

-135O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)+115

Aaron Nola – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
Aaron Nola’s four-seam fastball percentage has fallen by 6.3% from last year to this one (30.2% to 23.9%) .
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
Kyle Schwarber has big-time power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (29.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Miles Mikolas doesn’t generate many whiffs (12th percentile K%) — great news for Schwarber.
Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen profiles as the 6th-best in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Miles Mikolas – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
Miles Mikolas has recorded a 7.1% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, ranking in the 1st percentile.
Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
Keibert Ruiz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-205)
Keibert Ruiz’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 88.5-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 73.2-mph in the past week.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
CJ Abrams – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Washington Nationals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-140)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-135)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Alec Bohm – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+750/-1600)
Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+6.70 Units / 67% ROI)

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