Player Props for Phillies vs Nationals - Wednesday June 24, 2026

-125O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)+105

Aaron Nola – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
Aaron Nola’s four-seam fastball percentage has fallen by 6.3% from last year to this one (30.2% to 23.9%) .
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
Edmundo Sosa – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
Edmundo Sosa has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
The Philadelphia Phillies bullpen profiles as the 6th-best in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Miles Mikolas – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+135/-170)
Miles Mikolas has recorded a 7.1% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, ranking in the 1st percentile.
Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
Jose Tena – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
Jose Tena has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last season’s 89.2-mph figure.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
CJ Abrams – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Washington Nationals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-145)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-125)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Daylen Lile – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-130/+100)
Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 95% ROI)

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics