
Chicago White Sox
@

New York Yankees
+145O/U: 10
(-110/-110)-165
(-110/-110)-165
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Sean Burke – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)Sean Burke’s 2556-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 96th percentile out of all SPs.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Randal Grichuk – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+100/-130)Checking in at the 0th percentile for base-stealing, Randal Grichuk has average 0 steals per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
- Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
New York Yankees Insights
- Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)Recording 93.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Ryan Weathers places in the 84th percentile.Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- J.C. Escarra – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.C. Escarra in the 11th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the New York Yankees in today’s game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .319, which is significantly lower than their actual wOBA of .335 this year.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
Betting Trends
- New York Yankees – Run Line -1.5 (+115)The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+5.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+140/-180)Colson Montgomery has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.95 Units / 20% ROI)
