Watch the Game Highlights for White Sox vs Yankees – Thursday, June 18, 2026

Chicago White Sox

@

New York Yankees

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Sean Burke – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
  Sean Burke’s 2556-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 96th percentile out of all SPs.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Randal Grichuk – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+120/-150)
  Checking in at the 0th percentile for base-stealing, Randal Grichuk has average 0 steals per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

New York Yankees Insights

• Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
  Recording 93.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Ryan Weathers places in the 84th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Cody Bellinger are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Sean Burke.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the New York Yankees in today’s game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .317, which is significantly lower than their actual wOBA of .330 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – Run Line -1.5 (+130)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+5.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• Sam Antonacci – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1000/-4000)
  Sam Antonacci has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+19.00 Units / 475% ROI)