Check the Betting Guide and Odds for Phillies vs Brewers – Friday June 12th, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies logo

Philadelphia Phillies

@
Milwaukee Brewers logo

Milwaukee Brewers

+205O/U: 7.5
(-115/-105)
-240

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

  • Andrew Painter – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
    Out of all starting pitchers, Andrew Painter’s fastball velocity of 96 mph is in the 86th percentile this year.
    Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
  • Adolis Garcia – Over/Under Total Bases
    Bashing 3 HRs over the past 7 days, Adolis Garcia has been on fire of late.
    Explain: Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.
  • Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-210)
    Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (43% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
    Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

  • Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+135/-175)
    Jacob Misiorowski has recorded 18 outs per game per started this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.
    Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
  • Luis Rengifo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+175/-230)
    Grading out in the 3rd percentile, Luis Rengifo has notched a .095 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
    Explain: ISO is an advanced metric that measures a player’s ability to hit for power. Power, of course, is crucial for hitting home runs and extra-base hits.
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games
    Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee Brewers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
    The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
    The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+225/-305)
    Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 20% ROI)