Check the Betting Guide and Odds for Phillies vs Brewers – Friday June 12th, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies

@

Milwaukee Brewers

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Andrew Painter – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  Out of all starting pitchers, Andrew Painter’s fastball velocity of 96 mph is in the 86th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Adolis Garcia – Over/Under Total Bases
  Bashing 3 HRs over the past 7 days, Adolis Garcia has been on fire of late.
  Explain: Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.
• Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-210)
  Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (43% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+135/-180)
  Jacob Misiorowski has recorded 18 outs per game per started this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Joseph Ortiz – Over/Under Total Bases
  Joey Ortiz has put up a .080 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 2nd percentile.
  Explain: ISO is an advanced metric that measures a player’s ability to hit for power. Power, of course, is crucial for hitting home runs and extra-base hits.
• The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)