Check the Betting Guide and Odds for Phillies vs Brewers – Friday June 12th, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies

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Milwaukee Brewers

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Andrew Painter – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-170/+130)
  Out of all starting pitchers, Andrew Painter’s fastball velocity of 96 mph is in the 86th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Brandon Marsh has been hot of late, whalloping 3 long-balls over the past week.
  Explain: Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.
• Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.1% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-180/+135)
  Jacob Misiorowski has recorded 18 outs per game per started this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Joseph Ortiz – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Joey Ortiz has put up a .080 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 2nd percentile.
  Explain: ISO is an advanced metric that measures a player’s ability to hit for power. Power, of course, is crucial for hitting home runs and extra-base hits.
• The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
• Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+130/-165)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• Bryson Stott – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+200/-265)
  Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 20% ROI)