Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Yankees vs Blue Jays - Friday June 12, 2026

-110O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-110

Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)
Recording 93.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Ryan Weathers falls in the 83rd percentile.
Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
J.C. Escarra – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-105/-125)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.C. Escarra in the 11th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
The New York Yankees have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jazz Chisholm Jr., Spencer Jones, Ryan McMahon).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Trey Yesavage – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
Given his large reverse platoon split, Trey Yesavage should be in good shape facing 7 batters in the projected offense who bat from the other side in this matchup.
Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Nathan Lukes – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)
Nathan Lukes is penciled in 9th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+6.10 Units / 15% ROI)
New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-155)
The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.85 Units / 35% ROI)
Kazuma Okamoto – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-110/-120)
Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)

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