TV Channel Information for Pirates vs Braves – Saturday June 6, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates

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Atlanta Braves

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Braxton Ashcraft – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Braxton Ashcraft’s 96.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 89th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-210)
  There has been a decrease in Jake Mangum’s average exit velocity this season, from 87.4 mph last year to 84.3 mph now
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Ryan O’Hearn has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)
  Spencer Strider is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.1% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #24 HR venue in MLB today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Dominic Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Dominic Smith has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 16.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 8.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• It may be best to expect negative regression for the Atlanta Braves offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Atlanta Braves – Run Line +1.0 (-150)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• Sandy Leon – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Sandy Leon has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 48% ROI)