Player Trends for Pirates vs Astros – Tuesday, June 2nd, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates

@

Houston Astros

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Bubba Chandler – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-170/+130)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Bubba Chandler will average a total of 2.1 singles in today’s outing.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Jake Mangum’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 87.4-mph figure last year has fallen off to 83.8-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Pittsburgh Pirates – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Pittsburgh Pirates’ bullpen grades out as the 7th-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Houston Astros Insights

• Michael Burrows – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Mike Burrows has used his four-seam fastball 10.7% less often this season (28.4%) than he did last year (39.1%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Isaac Paredes – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (47.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Houston Astros – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 away games (+7.10 Units / 19% ROI)
• Brandon Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
  Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)