Uncover Detailed Player Insights for D-Backs vs Giants - Wednesday, May 27th, 2026

-110O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-110

Mike Soroka – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
Michael Soroka is projected to record an average of 16.4 outs in today’s game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
Ildemaro Vargas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
Extreme groundball batters like Ildemaro Vargas generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Trevor McDonald.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Adrian Del Castillo, Aramis Garcia, Ryan Waldschmidt).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Trevor McDonald – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
With a 1 deviation between Trevor McDonald’s 8.36 K/9 and his 7.36 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and should see negative regression going forward.
Explain: Pitchers that are overperforming should be expected to pitch worse going forward, which can create value on K prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
Rafael Devers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
In the past 7 days, Rafael Devers’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 33.3%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants’ bullpen grades out as the 7th-worst out of all the teams in the game.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.00 Units / 28% ROI)
Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (-110)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.55 Units / 13% ROI)
Luis Arraez – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1500/-50000)
Luis Arraez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+15.00 Units / 150% ROI)

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