Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction and Team Stats Analysis – 5/25/26

St. Louis Cardinals

@

Milwaukee Brewers

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  Among all SPs, Matthew Liberatore’s fastball spin rate of 2070 rpm grades out in the 5th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Jordan Walker – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Jordan Walker has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last season’s 92.3-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Jordan Walker – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+120)
  Recording 17.1 outs per outing this year on average, Jacob Misiorowski ranks in the 75th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  As it relates to his home runs, Christian Yelich has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 26.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.0.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Positioned lowest in the majors this year, Milwaukee Brewers batters jointly have put up a 8.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess the ability to lift the ball for power).
  Explain: A low launch angle generally means the hitter struggles to lift the ball into the air, which is a key component for power and home runs.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-245)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+185)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+8.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• Brice Turang – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)
  Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)