Player Predictions for Red Sox vs Royals – May 20, 2026

Boston Red Sox

@

Kansas City Royals

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (+100)
  The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the best among every team today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Masataka Yoshida – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Masataka Yoshida’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 90.2-mph EV last year has fallen off to 87.7-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Jarren Duran – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Michael Wacha – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+110)
  Michael Wacha has averaged 19.1 outs per game per started this year, placing in the 99th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+180/-235)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average ability.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Kansas City Royals with a 19.9% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 44% ROI)
• Boston Red Sox – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+210/-285)
  Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)