In-depth Player Analysis for Blue Jays vs Yankees – Tuesday May 19, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays

@

New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Dylan Cease – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Dylan Cease’s 97.2-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 93rd percentile out of all SPs.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Jesus Sanchez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+120)
  Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 19.4% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

New York Yankees Insights

• Will Warren – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-125/-105)
  Will Warren projects for 16.9 outs in today’s outing, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Ryan McMahon’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 93.2-mph mark last year has dropped off to 91.2-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• New York Yankees bats as a group place in the league for power this year when using their 11.7% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – Run Line -1.5 (+155)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 19 of their last 35 games at home (+5.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ben Rice – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Ben Rice has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.85 Units / 60% ROI)