Current Player Trends for Orioles vs Nationals – Sunday May 17, 2026

Baltimore Orioles

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Washington Nationals

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Brandon Young – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
  Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Brandon Young is projected to throw 83 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers today.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Leody Taveras – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-185)
  Leody Taveras’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 90.7-mph figure last season has fallen off to 87.9-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Baltimore’s 89.6-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the best in the game: #6 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Washington Nationals Insights

• Miles Mikolas – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Miles Mikolas has gone to his sinker 5.6% more often this season (22.2%) than he did last year (16.6%).
  Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Keibert Ruiz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+175/-230)
  Using Statcast data, Keibert Ruiz is in the 9th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .222.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• CJ Abrams – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.