Explore Tigers vs Braves Expert Picks and Betting Tips – 4/28/26

Detroit Tigers logo

Detroit Tigers

@
Atlanta Braves logo

Atlanta Braves

+105O/U: 9
(-120/+100)
-125

Detroit Tigers Insights

  • Riley Greene – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
    Riley Greene has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.
    Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Atlanta Braves Insights

  • Martin Perez – Over/Under Pitching Outs
    Martin Perez has averaged 93.2 adjusted pitches per GS since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile.
    Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

Betting Trends

  • Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-125)
    The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)
    The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+480/-800)
    Spencer Torkelson has hit the Home Runs Over in his last 5 games (+24.50 Units / 490% ROI)