Cubs vs Dodgers Game Highlights - Sunday, April 26, 2026

+100O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)-120

Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-120)
Shota Imanaga is an extreme flyball pitcher (44.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #2 HR venue among all major league parks in today’s game.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Michael Busch – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-175/+135)
Michael Busch has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (92% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
The Chicago Cubs have 7 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Justin Wrobleski in this matchup.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Dalton Rushing – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
Dalton Rushing has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 99.6-mph average to last season’s 93.6-mph EV.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Los Angeles Dodgers in this game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .334, which is considerably worse than their actual wOBA of .357 this year.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+100/-130)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
Ian Happ – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+160/-210)
Ian Happ has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)

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