Explore Expert Picks and Betting Line for Braves vs Pirates – July 8, 2026

Atlanta Braves

@

Pittsburgh Pirates

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Drake Baldwin – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Drake Baldwin has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Jared Jones – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-140/+110)
  Tallying 74.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Jared Jones checks in at the 4th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+180/-240)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• The underlying talent of the Pittsburgh Pirates projected batting order today (.315 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal weaker than their .333 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.