
Los Angeles Angels
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Kansas City Royals
+100O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-120
(-110/-110)-120
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+100)Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)Kansas City’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Mike Trout, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Los Angeles Angels – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Angels’ bullpen grades out as the 10th-worst out of all the teams in baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Seth Lugo – Over/Under Pitching OutsSeth Lugo has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, recording 4.7 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than league average.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Isaac Collins – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)In the past two weeks, Isaac Collins’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Lane Thomas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+165/-215)Lane Thomas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-deepest CF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Kansas City Royals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-120)The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- Salvador Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-125/-105)Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 42% ROI)
