Get the Brewers vs Marlins Injury Report - Sunday, April 19, 2026

-110O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-110

Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
Jacob Misiorowski’s higher usage rate of his fastball this year (60.5 compared to 54.4% last year) is not ideal considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
David Hamilton – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
David Hamilton’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 87-mph average last year has dropped to 80.8-mph.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Today’s version of the Brewers projected offense is a bit watered down, as their .297 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .309 overall projected rate.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Eury Perez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
Eury Perez’s 2648-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 100th percentile among all starters.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Jakob Marsee – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.289) implies that Jakob Marsee has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .255 actual batting average.
Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
Miami Marlins – 2H Moneyline
The Miami Marlins bullpen grades out as the 8th-worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Miami Marlins – Moneyline (-110)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+4.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Milwaukee Brewers – Run Line -1.5 (+165)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 away games (+7.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Liam Hicks – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 54% ROI)

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