Orioles vs Guardians Game Highlights - Saturday, April 18, 2026

+120O/U: 7.5
(+105/-125)-140

Dean Kremer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
Dean Kremer has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 8 opposite-handed hitters in today’s game.
Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Jeremiah Jackson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)
Jeremiah Jackson has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .287 mark is considerably higher than his .215 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
Leody Taveras – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Gavin Williams – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
Among all starters, Gavin Williams’s fastball velocity of 96 mph ranks in the 86th percentile this year.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)
In the last 7 days, Jose Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.3% up to 20%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
The Cleveland Guardians (19.9 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup of the day.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Cleveland Guardians – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-115/-115)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Pete Alonso – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+140/-180)
Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)

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