Angels vs Rockies Game Time – 9/20/2025

Los Angeles Angels

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Colorado Rockies

As the Colorado Rockies prepare to host the Los Angeles Angels at Coors Field on September 20, 2025, both teams find themselves struggling in the standings. The Rockies sit at a dismal 42-112, while the Angels are slightly better at 69-85. Despite their records, the Rockies will look to capitalize on their home advantage after dropping the first game of this series, which puts added pressure on them to perform.

On the mound, German Marquez is projected to start for the Rockies. He has had a rough season with a 3-14 record and an ERA of 6.65. Although his advanced metrics suggest he might be due for some positive regression, his overall performance has been lackluster. Marquez’s projected 4.7 innings pitched and 3.5 earned runs allowed indicate he may struggle against the Angels’ powerful lineup, which ranks 6th in MLB for home runs.

Kyle Hendricks will take the mound for the Angels, also experiencing a disappointing year with a 7-10 record and an ERA of 5.01. Hendricks’s low strikeout rate could be a double-edged sword, as he faces a Rockies offense that ranks 2nd in MLB for strikeouts. However, the projections suggest he will pitch around 4.8 innings and allow approximately 3.4 earned runs, which could keep the Angels competitive.

The Rockies’ offense ranks 27th in MLB, severely hampered by a lack of consistent hitting, while the Angels sit at 22nd. However, the Rockies’ best hitter has been on a tear lately, recording 11 hits and 11 RBIs over the past week, which could provide a spark for the struggling offense. With a game total set at 11.5 runs, this matchup promises fireworks, especially given that betting markets view it as a close contest.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Kyle Hendricks – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  Kyle Hendricks’s higher usage rate of his fastball this season (53.2 vs. 47.7% last year) is not ideal consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Logan O’Hoppe – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Logan O’Hoppe has been unlucky this year. His .277 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• The Los Angeles Angels project to score the most runs of all teams on the slate, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)
  German Marquez turned in a great performance in his last GS and gave up 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Mickey Moniak – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+160/-210)
  Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The Colorado Rockies have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ezequiel Tovar, Jordan Beck, Hunter Goodman, Brenton Doyle).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 88 of their last 152 games (+16.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 6.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 31 games (+14.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• Mickey Moniak – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-105/-125)
  Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 42% ROI)