
Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants
(-110/-110)-120
As the San Francisco Giants prepare to host the Los Angeles Dodgers on September 13, 2025, fans can expect an intriguing matchup in this National League West showdown. The Giants recently secured a victory against the Dodgers, winning 5-1 in their last meeting, which adds some extra intensity to this series. The Giants sit at 75-72, having an average season, while the Dodgers are in a stronger position at 82-65, showcasing their good form.
Giants’ pitcher Logan Webb, ranked 9th among MLB starters according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, is projected to take the mound. He has had a solid year with a 14-9 record and a great ERA of 3.12. His last outing was impressive, going 6 innings with just 1 earned run, 7 strikeouts, 5 hits, and 2 walks. Webb’s ability to generate ground balls (55% GB rate) could serve him well against the Dodgers, who possess a powerful offense, having hit 216 home runs this season, ranking 2nd in MLB.
On the other side, Dodgers’ veteran Clayton Kershaw, although still effective with a 10-2 record and great ERA of 3.27, has seen some struggles in his last start, where he allowed 2 earned runs over 6 innings. Kershaw’s current 58th ranking in Power Rankings suggests he may not be at his elite level this season, further complicating his matchup against a Giants offense that ranks 19th in MLB.
Given that both teams have low implied totals of 3.75 runs for this game, bettors may find value in the Giants’ potential to pull off another upset, especially with Webb’s elite ranking and their recent success against the Dodgers. The projections indicate a competitive contest, and with both bullpens showing a stark contrast in rankings (Giants at 28th, Dodgers at 2nd), the outcome could hinge on the starting pitchers’ performances.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (+100)The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense grades out as the worst among every team on the slate today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-175/+135)Max Muncy is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (+100)The 3rd-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Logan Webb – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+150/-195)Logan Webb has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 8.9 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average hurler.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Wilmer Flores – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)Wilmer Flores’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 85.5-mph now compared to just 83.5-mph then.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- San Francisco Giants – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants’ bullpen ranks as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in the league.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-125/-105)The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+13.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Clayton Kershaw – Over/Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-105/-125)Clayton Kershaw has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 39% ROI)
