Betting Guide and Odds for Blue Jays vs Orioles – Thursday May 28, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays

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Baltimore Orioles

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Patrick Corbin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Patrick Corbin has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches 6.2% less often this season (62%) than he did last year (68.2%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Yohendrick Pinango – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Yohendrick Pinango is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen grades out as the 2nd-best in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Chris Bassitt – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Chris Bassitt’s 91.2-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 9th percentile among all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Pete Alonso – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Pete Alonso has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.5-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 95.1-mph mark.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+165/-215)
  Coby Mayo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.