
Los Angeles Angels
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Detroit Tigers
+115O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-135
(-110/-110)-135
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Grayson Rodriguez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+130/-170)The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Grayson Rodriguez in the 79th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
- Jo Adell – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Jo Adell has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 91.4-mph average.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- The Los Angeles Angels have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jorge Soler, Zach Neto, Mike Trout).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)Out of all SPs, Jack Flaherty’s fastball velocity of 91.8 mph is in the 15th percentile this year.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Kevin McGonigle – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Kevin McGonigle is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Los Angeles (#2-worst of the day).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Detroit’s 88.1-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the worst in MLB: #26 overall.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Riley Greene – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 62% ROI)
