Live Score for Angels vs Mariners – September 11th, 2025

Los Angeles Angels logo

Los Angeles Angels

@
Seattle Mariners logo

Seattle Mariners

+140O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)
-160

As the Seattle Mariners prepare to host the Los Angeles Angels on September 11, 2025, both teams are coming off notable performances. The Mariners, who won their last matchup against the Angels by a score of 4-2, are having an above-average season with a record of 78-68. Meanwhile, the Angels sit at 69-77, struggling to find consistency as they rank 22nd in MLB offense.

In this critical American League West matchup, the Mariners will send Bryce Miller to the mound. Despite being ranked 148th among starting pitchers, Miller has shown flashes of potential, although he boasts a troubling ERA of 5.53 this season. In his last outing on September 6, Miller pitched well, allowing just 2 earned runs over 5 innings. He projects to pitch a similar length today, averaging 5.4 innings while allowing 2.1 earned runs.

On the other side, Jose Soriano takes the hill for the Angels. Ranked 28th among starting pitchers, Soriano has had a rollercoaster season with a 4.07 ERA and a dismal outing in his last start, where he allowed 8 earned runs in just 2 innings. Despite this, he carries a solid groundball percentage of 67%, which could help him against the Mariners’ powerful lineup that ranks 3rd in home runs.

With the Mariners’ offense being rated 12th overall but excelling in power, this game presents a challenge for Soriano. The Mariners are favored with a moneyline of -165, reflecting a strong confidence in their ability to capitalize on their offensive strengths against a struggling Angels squad. The game total is set at a low 7.5 runs, indicating an expectation for tight pitching battles. As both teams aim to gain momentum, the Mariners will look to leverage their home-field advantage and continue their success against the Angels.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

  • Jose Soriano – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
    Jose Soriano’s four-seamer utilization has decreased by 5.1% from last season to this one (13.8% to 8.7%) .
    Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
  • Bryce Teodosio – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
    Bryce Teodosio’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 86-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 81.7-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
    Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
  • Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Los Angeles Angels with a 27.9% underlying K%.
    Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Seattle Mariners Insights

  • Bryce Miller – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
    Bryce Miller’s 94.1-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a big 1-mph decrease from last year’s 95.1-mph figure.
    Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
  • Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
    Extreme flyball hitters like Eugenio Suarez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Soriano.
    Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
  • The 9.6% Barrel% of the Seattle Mariners makes them the #7 group of hitters in Major League Baseball this year by this metric.
    Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

  • Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-160)
    The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games at home (+12.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Los Angeles Angels – Run Line +1.5 (-150)
    The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 67 of their last 113 games (+15.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+500/-850)
    Julio Rodriguez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 111% ROI)