Injuries Update for Yankees vs White Sox – August 28, 2025

New York Yankees

@

Chicago White Sox

On August 28, 2025, the Chicago White Sox will host the New York Yankees at Guaranteed Rate Field for the first game of their series. The Yankees are currently sitting comfortably in the playoff picture, boasting a solid record of 73-60, while the White Sox struggle at 48-85, ranking 3rd worst in the league. After a tumultuous season, the White Sox have turned in a disappointing performance, and it reflects in their offensive rankings, where they stand as the 28th best in MLB.

In their last game, both teams displayed contrasting fortunes. The Yankees, fresh off a win, look to continue that momentum, especially with their elite offense, which ranks 1st in MLB for home runs. In contrast, the White Sox have been trying to rally but are facing uphill battles, notably with Davis Martin on the mound. Martin, projected to start, has had a rough outing throughout the season, with a record of 5-9 and a lowly ranking of 258 among MLB pitchers. Although his ERA of 3.93 appears decent, his xFIP hints that he might have been rather fortunate this year.

Will Warren, the Yankees’ starter, presents a much tougher challenge. Though deemed average overall, he’s had moments that suggest he could elevate his performance. His xFIP of 3.74 is lower than his ERA of 4.47, implying he’s been somewhat unlucky.

As the White Sox lineup faces off against top-tier pitching, the projections suggest they might struggle to put runs on the board. With a Game Total of 9.0 runs, betting odds favor the Yankees at -195, while the White Sox sit as +165 underdogs. This matchup highlights the stark contrasts in both teams’ seasons and sets the stage for an intriguing showdown.

New York Yankees Insights

• Will Warren – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)
  Recording 14.6 outs per game per started this year on average, Will Warren falls in the 15th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Ryan McMahon has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Ben Rice – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Davis Martin – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Davis Martin’s higher utilization rate of his fastball this season (41.4 vs. 28.3% last year) is not ideal since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Andrew Benintendi – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
  Andrew Benintendi will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (+155)
  The 3rd-worst projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Chicago White Sox.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-105)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 66 games at home (+20.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• Mike Tauchman – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-105/-125)
  Mike Tauchman has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 74% ROI)