Check Out the Match Preview: Orioles vs Mariners Game Forecast and Analysis – 6/18/2026

Baltimore Orioles

@

Seattle Mariners

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Shane Baz – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Shane Baz’s 95.5-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 78th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Gunnar Henderson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Gunnar Henderson’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Baltimore Orioles – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Baltimore Orioles’ bullpen projects as the 6th-worst out of all the teams in baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-160)
  Bryan Woo has recorded 17.6 outs per GS this year, grading out in the 86th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Mitch Garver – Over/Under Hits
  Mitch Garver is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Mitch Garver – Over/Under Total Bases
  Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.