Arizona Diamondbacks
Athletics
(+100/-120)-130
As the Oakland Athletics prepare to host the Arizona Diamondbacks on August 2, 2025, both teams are looking to gain momentum in a matchup that sees the Athletics striving to improve on a disappointing season. Currently, Oakland sits at 49-63, while Arizona holds a slightly better record at 51-59. With both teams struggling to find their footing, this game becomes an opportunity for them to build some much-needed confidence.
In their last matchup, the Athletics came out on top with a 5-1 victory, showcasing their offense, which currently ranks as the 7th best in MLB this season. This performance is a promising sign for an offense that excels in hitting home runs, boasting the 6th best rank in that category. Meanwhile, the D-Backs, despite having a strong overall offensive ranking at 4th best in MLB, continue to underperform, reflected in their below-average season.
Pitching will be crucial for both teams, as J.T. Ginn takes the mound for the Athletics. Ginn has produced solid numbers, with an outstanding 3.89 ERA and a stellar outing in his last start where he threw 6 scoreless innings. On the other hand, Zac Gallen, projected to start for the D-Backs, has had a rough season, posting a troubling 5.60 ERA. The projections suggest that Gallen could see improvement, but he will need to step up significantly to quell the Athletics’ potent lineup.
With a game total set at a high 10.0 runs, both offenses are anticipated to put runs on the board. The moneyline favors the Athletics at -125, suggesting that they are expected to edge out this contest against a D-Backs team still searching for consistency. Expect a competitive atmosphere at Sutter Health Park as these two teams vie for a crucial win in an interleague showdown.
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights
- Zac Gallen – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)Zac Gallen has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 4.1 more adjusted pitches-per-game than average.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Ketel Marte – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)Ketel Marte has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.3-mph average.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Arizona Diamondbacks hitters as a unit have been among the best in MLB this year (7th-) when it comes to their 89.7-mph average exit velocity.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Athletics Insights
- J.T. Ginn – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)J.T. Ginn’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (54.9% this year) is likely weakening his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
- Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)Despite posting a .431 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nicholas Kurtz has experienced some positive variance given the .084 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .347.Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)In today’s game, Lawrence Butler is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.7% rate (93rd percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Athletics – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 80 games (+7.27 Units / 7% ROI)
- Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 away games (+8.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Brent Rooker – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+305/-440)Brent Rooker has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+8.30 Units / 83% ROI)