Find the Official Lineup for Yankees vs Marlins – 8/02/2025

New York Yankees

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Miami Marlins

On August 2, 2025, the Miami Marlins will host the New York Yankees at LoanDepot Park for the second game of their interleague series. The Marlins are currently 53-55, sitting in a middle ground of mediocrity, while the Yankees boast a 60-50 record and are performing at an above-average level. In their last matchup, the Marlins edged out the Yankees in a thrilling 13-12 contest, showcasing both teams’ offensive firepower.

Eury Perez is projected to take the mound for the Marlins, entering the game with a respectable 3.07 ERA and a solid ranking as the 43rd best starting pitcher in MLB. However, his 4.10 xFIP indicates a potential regression, suggesting he may have been a bit fortunate thus far. In his last start on July 27, Perez pitched well, allowing just one earned run over five innings, while striking out six batters. The Marlins will need him to continue that form against a potent Yankees lineup.

Cam Schlitter, who is set to start for New York, has struggled with his control, evident in his 13.2% walk rate. Although he has a below-average ERA of 4.91, projections suggest he could perform better moving forward. Nevertheless, he faces a challenging matchup against a high-strikeout Yankees offense.

At the plate, the Yankees lead MLB with 177 home runs, while the Marlins rank 26th in that category. This stark contrast in power could be pivotal, especially considering Perez’s tendency to give up fly balls. With the game total set at 8.0 runs, sportsbooks have placed both teams at a -110 moneyline, indicating a closely contested battle. The Marlins will look to leverage their pitching strength while the Yankees aim to maintain their offensive dominance.

New York Yankees Insights

• Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  Cameron Schlittler’s high utilization rate of his fastball (61% since the start of last season) is likely dampening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Paul Goldschmidt – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)
  Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Yankees’ bullpen projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Eury Perez – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
  Out of all starting pitchers, Eury Perez’s fastball spin rate of 2666 rpm is in the 100th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Graham Pauley – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Graham Pauley’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86.2-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 82.8-mph over the last 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Dane Myers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+17.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
  Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)