Arizona Diamondbacks
Athletics
(-110/-110)-130
As the Oakland Athletics prepare to face the Arizona Diamondbacks on August 1, 2025, both teams are looking to shift their fortunes in a matchup that features two struggling squads. The Athletics sit at 48-63 and are coming off a narrow victory on July 30, where they edged out their opponents 5-4. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks, with a record of 51-58, are fresh off a disappointing 7-2 loss in their last outing.
In this interleague matchup, Oakland will have Jacob Lopez on the mound, a left-handed pitcher whose 3-6 record and 4.29 ERA suggest he is having an average season by MLB standards. However, his high walk rate could be problematic against Arizona’s patient offense, which ranks 5th in the league in walks drawn. On the other side, the Diamondbacks will counter with Anthony DeSclafani, who has struggled this year but possesses a favorable 3.86 ERA. His 5.10 FIP indicates he may have been fortunate thus far, but he remains a high-groundball pitcher, which could mitigate the Athletics’ power-hitting capabilities.
Despite being in the bottom half of MLB’s Power Rankings with a 22nd ranking for their bullpen, the Athletics’ offense ranks 7th overall, showcasing their underlying talent. With the highest implied team total of 5.18 runs for this game, Oakland’s hitters could capitalize on DeSclafani’s inconsistencies.
As the game approaches, all eyes will be on how Lopez handles a disciplined Diamondbacks lineup while the Athletics look to continue their recent momentum against a team that has struggled to find its rhythm.
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights
- Jose Herrera – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Hitters such as Jose Herrera with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jacob Lopez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Ketel Marte – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Athletics Insights
- Jacob Lopez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)Out of all SPs, Jacob Lopez’s fastball spin rate of 2120 rpm ranks in the 2nd percentile this year.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)Nicholas Kurtz has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 21.2% seasonal rate to 38.2% over the past two weeks.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Rating steepest in Major League Baseball this year, Athletics hitters as a unit have put up a 17° launch angle on their hardest-hit balls (an advanced standard to measure power skills).Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 76 games (+6.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 43 of their last 83 games (+9.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Lawrence Butler has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 47% ROI)