Get Tickets Information for Tigers vs Phillies – 8/1/2025

Detroit Tigers

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Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Detroit Tigers for the first game of their interleague series on August 1, 2025, at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies currently sit at 61-47, just behind the Tigers, who hold a record of 64-46. With both teams vying for a solid position in the playoff race, this matchup carries significant weight. In their last outings, the Phillies lost 9-3 to the Miami Marlins, while the Tigers secured a 7-2 victory over the Kansas City Royals, highlighting their strong form.

On the mound, Ranger Suarez is projected for the Phillies, boasting an impressive 8-4 record and an excellent 2.59 ERA this season. However, his 3.56 xFIP suggests he might be due for some regression. Suarez’s recent performance has been solid, as he pitched well in his last start on July 26, going 6 innings with just 1 earned run. He projects to average 5.9 innings today, allowing 2.3 earned runs, and striking out 6 batters.

Jack Flaherty, the Tigers’ starter, faces a steeper challenge with a 6-10 record and a 4.51 ERA. His peripherals indicate he might improve, but he has been inconsistent this year. Flaherty’s last start saw him throwing 6 scoreless innings against the Royals, which adds an element of unpredictability.

Offensively, the Phillies rank 8th in MLB with a strong lineup that has recorded 37 home runs this season. Meanwhile, the Tigers, while also competitive with the 9th best offense, lack the same power, ranking 30th in stolen bases. This matchup is pivotal, and given the Phillies’ home field advantage and their ranking as favorites with a moneyline of -150, they are in a favorable position to capitalize on a struggling Flaherty and build momentum as they push for the postseason.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
  Compared to the average starter, Jack Flaherty has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording an additional 3.7 adjusted pitches each game.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Dillon Dingler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)
  Dillon Dingler is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#1-worst of the day).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Detroit Tigers offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Ranger Suarez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  Ranger Suarez’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this year (57.1% vs. 49.1% last season) ought to work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• J.T. Realmuto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
  J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Philadelphia Phillies batters as a group have been among the best in baseball this year (4th-) as far as their 89.9-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-150/+115)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+10.41 Units / 14% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 86 games (+8.65 Units / 9% ROI)
• Jahmai Jones – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+135/-170)
  Jahmai Jones has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 37% ROI)