See the Odds and Betting Tips for Dodgers vs Red Sox – July 26th, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

@

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox are set to host the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 26, 2025, in what promises to be an intriguing Interleague matchup. Both teams are having solid seasons, with the Red Sox at 55-50 and the Dodgers at 61-43. The Dodgers currently sit in a good position, but the Red Sox are looking to capitalize on their home field advantage at Fenway Park.

In their last game, the Dodgers showcased their offensive prowess, winning decisively and continuing to assert their status as one of the top teams in MLB. They rank 3rd in overall offense, highlighted by their 2nd place ranking in home runs with 158 this season. However, they face a challenging task against Garrett Crochet, who has been exceptional this year with an elite Power Rankings standing as the 4th best starting pitcher in MLB. Crochet’s 2.19 ERA and impressive control (6.7 BB%) make him a tough matchup, especially for a Dodgers lineup that thrives on drawing walks.

Clayton Kershaw will take the mound for the Dodgers, entering the game with a solid 3.27 ERA, though his 4.27 xFIP suggests he may have been a bit fortunate this season. Kershaw’s low strikeout rate (16.2 K%) could be problematic against a Red Sox offense that ranks 3rd in strikeouts. The projections indicate that Kershaw may struggle against a high-strikeout lineup like Boston’s.

With the Red Sox’s offense ranking 5th overall and their bullpen rated 7th, they have the tools to support Crochet effectively. Given the current odds, the Red Sox are favored with an implied team total of 4.58 runs, while the Dodgers sit at 3.92 runs. This game could hinge on Crochet’s performance, with his ability to limit hard contact and walks potentially giving Boston the edge.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Clayton Kershaw – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  With 7 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Clayton Kershaw will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Hye Seong Kim – Over/Under Hits
  Against the weak defense of Boston’s 3rd-worst infield of all teams on the slate today), Hyeseong Kim has a very favorable matchup given his extreme groundball tendencies.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Will Smith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Garrett Crochet – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  Garrett Crochet’s 95.6-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.5-mph drop off from last year’s 97.1-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Jarren Duran – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-215/+165)
  Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Boston Red Sox have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Roman Anthony, Romy Gonzalez, Trevor Story).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (-165)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+305/-440)
  Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+8.55 Units / 86% ROI)