Live Updates for White Sox vs Dodgers – 7/01/2025

Chicago White Sox

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Los Angeles Dodgers

On July 1, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Chicago White Sox at Dodger Stadium for the first game of their interleague series. The Dodgers currently hold a strong record of 53-32, showcasing their dominance this season, while the White Sox have struggled with a record of 28-56, placing them at the bottom of the league. This matchup is particularly intriguing given that the Dodgers are coming off a series win and are riding the momentum of their powerful offense, which ranks as the 1st best in MLB.

The Dodgers are projected to start Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who is having an excellent season with a 2.61 ERA and a Power Rankings placement as the 7th best starting pitcher in MLB. Yamamoto’s ability to induce ground balls (55% GB rate) will be crucial against a White Sox lineup that lacks power, having hit only 65 home runs this year, the 3rd least in MLB. However, Yamamoto does project to allow a concerning average of 4.7 hits and 1.7 walks today, which could give the White Sox some opportunities.

On the other hand, Shane Smith is slated to take the mound for the White Sox. With a 3.38 ERA, Smith has been below average, and his high walk rate (9.9 BB%) could be exploited by the Dodgers’ patient offense, which ranks 2nd in walks. Smith’s projections indicate he may struggle, averaging only 4.4 innings pitched while allowing 3.1 earned runs and 5.0 hits.

With the Dodgers being massive betting favorites and an implied team total of 5.40 runs, the projections suggest that they should capitalize on their offensive prowess against a struggling White Sox team. Expect a competitive game, but the Dodgers’ advantage on the mound and at the plate could prove decisive.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+250)
  Shane Smith is an extreme groundball pitcher (42.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue in Major League Baseball — today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Mike Tauchman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Mike Tauchman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 95-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Chicago White Sox – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago White Sox’ bullpen projects as the 6th-worst among all the teams in MLB.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s curveball utilization has decreased by 5.3% from last season to this one (23.2% to 17.9%) .
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
  Bats such as Max Muncy with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Shane Smith who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Will Smith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 74 games (+9.25 Units / 11% ROI)
• Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 away games (+9.65 Units / 20% ROI)
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
  Max Muncy has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)