How to Watch Mets vs Reds – Wednesday, June 17, 2026

New York Mets

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Cincinnati Reds

New York Mets Insights

• Nolan McLean – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Nolan McLean will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Marcus Semien – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
  Marcus Semien is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Nick Lodolo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Nick Lodolo struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and notched 2 Ks.
  Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Nate Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Nathaniel Lowe has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+4.95 Units / 9% ROI)
• New York Mets – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
  The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+110/-145)
  Francisco Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)