Betting Tips and Odds for Giants vs White Sox – Friday June 27th, 2025

San Francisco Giants

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Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to host the San Francisco Giants on June 27, 2025, the stakes are low for both teams, with the White Sox languishing at the bottom of the standings with a record of 26-55. In contrast, the Giants are performing better at 44-37, sitting in the middle of the pack. The White Sox are coming off a much-needed win against the Giants, where they secured a 7-3 victory on June 25, while the Giants are looking to bounce back after a tough 12-5 loss in their last outing.

Chicago is projected to start right-handed pitcher Aaron Civale, who has struggled this season with a 1-4 record and a 5.03 ERA. Civale’s performance has been inconsistent; in his last start on June 21, he allowed five earned runs over seven innings. His projections for this game indicate he might pitch an average of 5.2 innings, allowing 3.1 earned runs and striking out 4.0 batters. The White Sox offense ranks a dismal 30th in the league, and against a pitcher like Landen Roupp, who is projected to pitch 4.9 innings with a solid 3.67 ERA, they may find it challenging to generate runs.

The Giants, led by their best hitter, have also faced their challenges this season, ranking 22nd in offensive performance. However, Roupp’s recent form has been encouraging, especially after he threw six scoreless innings in his last start. With the Giants’ bullpen currently ranked first in the league, they have the advantage in late-game scenarios.

The Game Total is set at 9.0 runs, indicating an expectation for some scoring, but with the White Sox’s struggles at the plate, it remains to be seen if they can keep pace with the Giants. The projections suggest the Giants may be undervalued in the betting lines, making them a team to watch as they look to capitalize on their recent matchup against the White Sox.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Wilmer Flores – Over/Under Total Bases
  Wilmer Flores has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.9-mph average to last year’s 87.6-mph EV.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Wilmer Flores – Over/Under Total Bases
  Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)
  Aaron Civale is an extreme flyball pitcher (38% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #3 HR venue among all parks today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Bats such as Miguel Vargas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Landen Roupp who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Teel, Luis Robert Jr., Ryan Noda).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-125)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 59 games (+11.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+8.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• Mike Yastrzemski – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+300/-440)
  Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+8.80 Units / 220% ROI)