Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
(-105/-115)-235
The New York Yankees will host the Los Angeles Angels on June 17, 2025, in a pivotal matchup at Yankee Stadium. With the Yankees currently boasting a record of 42-29, they have positioned themselves well for a successful season, sitting atop the American League standings. In contrast, the Angels, at 34-37, find themselves struggling to find consistency and are ranked 23rd in MLB offense.
In their previous game, the Yankees edged out the Angels, solidifying their form as they have won three of their last four contests. The Yankees are projected to start Will Warren, a right-handed pitcher who has had a solid season, recording a 4-3 record and holding an xFIP of 3.33, which suggests he might be due for a breakout. He faces off against Kyle Hendricks, who has had a rough season with a 4-6 record and an ERA of 5.20, reflecting a challenging year for the right-hander.
The Yankees’ offense shines, ranking 2nd overall in MLB with an impressive output, including 109 home runs this season. In contrast, the Angels find a silver lining in their power hitting—ranked 4th in home runs—but they struggle significantly with consistency, ranking 27th in team batting average. With the Yankees’ pitching advantage and a powerful lineup, they enter this game with strong expectations.
The projections suggest the Yankees have an implied team total of 5.44 runs, while the Angels sit lower at 3.56 runs. Given the Angels’ high strikeout rate against Warren’s impressive strikeout percentage, the Yankees may capitalize on this matchup, making them compelling favorites in the betting market.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Kyle Hendricks – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Hendricks is expected to rack up an average of 3.3 strikeouts today.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+110)In the past week, Taylor Ward’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.4% down to 0%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Jorge Soler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)In today’s matchup, Jorge Soler is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.3% rate (92nd percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
New York Yankees Insights
- Will Warren – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)Due to his large platoon split, Will Warren will be at an advantage facing 7 hitters in the projected batting order who share the same handedness in this game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- DJ LeMahieu – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)DJ LeMahieu has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season’s 88.5-mph mark.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- New York Yankees – Moneyline (-235)The 4th-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the New York Yankees.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-105/-115)The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.17 Units / 36% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+200)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+10.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+105/-135)Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)